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	<title>Comments on: 2009 NLDS Preview: Phillies vs. Rockies</title>
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		<title>By: Chris McC.</title>
		<link>http://www.reclinergm.com/2009-nlds-preview-phillies-vs-rockies/#comment-20384</link>
		<dc:creator>Chris McC.</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 06 Oct 2009 03:10:15 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.reclinergm.com/?p=7207#comment-20384</guid>
		<description>As far as LIdge&#039;s cut fastball goes you&#039;ve got to think he&#039;s been working on it here and there during the regular season.  The guy&#039;s had two pitches his whole career, it sounds incredibly risky to work on a new pitch for a couple weeks and debut it in the postseason when he&#039;s been so inconsistent.  Sounds kind of like grasping at straws.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>As far as LIdge&#8217;s cut fastball goes you&#8217;ve got to think he&#8217;s been working on it here and there during the regular season.  The guy&#8217;s had two pitches his whole career, it sounds incredibly risky to work on a new pitch for a couple weeks and debut it in the postseason when he&#8217;s been so inconsistent.  Sounds kind of like grasping at straws.</p>
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		<title>By: Burke</title>
		<link>http://www.reclinergm.com/2009-nlds-preview-phillies-vs-rockies/#comment-20382</link>
		<dc:creator>Burke</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 05 Oct 2009 22:32:06 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.reclinergm.com/?p=7207#comment-20382</guid>
		<description>Pete,

Atkins will be gone for sure. He already went through arbitration and got 7 mil this year to sit the bench. 2010 is another arbitration year, but when he files no one really expects the Rockies to make a move. Atkins himself said last week, &quot;Obviously, I don&#039;t think I&#039;ve got too many more games in a Rockies uniform. I&#039;m just trying to enjoy it with these guys. . . .&quot; Stewart is considered the real deal and while his BA is terrible, his OPS is .783 and should project close to 800 next year. The deal we offer him (he only made 400 K this year) should set the tone for how we are going to sign Fowler, Smith, and Gonzalez.

Based on those upcoming contracts, there are plenty of tough decisions. Barmes (with EY2 behind him) and Hawpe (with 3 young starters and Spillbourghs as a value-guy off the bench as viable options in the OF) stand out as guys the front office need to think long and hard about keeping. Barmes is arbitraiton eligible and his defense may be strong enough to convince the club to keep him around anouther year as EY2 continues developing. Hawpe is set to get 7.5 million next year and has a club option in 2011. There were some rumors he would be shipped this year - so it&#039;s likely teams will be inquiring and the Rockies will be listening.

Other than that - dont forget the rotation gets a boost with Francis back from Shoulder surgery (not a sure bet to be great again though) and Bucholtz (Tommy John) in the bullpen. 

Also - its mostly the Rockies fault that these are day games, but for an East Coast team that is defending the World Series, the Phillies are getting relativley little MSM play.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Pete,</p>
<p>Atkins will be gone for sure. He already went through arbitration and got 7 mil this year to sit the bench. 2010 is another arbitration year, but when he files no one really expects the Rockies to make a move. Atkins himself said last week, &#8220;Obviously, I don&#8217;t think I&#8217;ve got too many more games in a Rockies uniform. I&#8217;m just trying to enjoy it with these guys. . . .&#8221; Stewart is considered the real deal and while his BA is terrible, his OPS is .783 and should project close to 800 next year. The deal we offer him (he only made 400 K this year) should set the tone for how we are going to sign Fowler, Smith, and Gonzalez.</p>
<p>Based on those upcoming contracts, there are plenty of tough decisions. Barmes (with EY2 behind him) and Hawpe (with 3 young starters and Spillbourghs as a value-guy off the bench as viable options in the OF) stand out as guys the front office need to think long and hard about keeping. Barmes is arbitraiton eligible and his defense may be strong enough to convince the club to keep him around anouther year as EY2 continues developing. Hawpe is set to get 7.5 million next year and has a club option in 2011. There were some rumors he would be shipped this year &#8211; so it&#8217;s likely teams will be inquiring and the Rockies will be listening.</p>
<p>Other than that &#8211; dont forget the rotation gets a boost with Francis back from Shoulder surgery (not a sure bet to be great again though) and Bucholtz (Tommy John) in the bullpen. </p>
<p>Also &#8211; its mostly the Rockies fault that these are day games, but for an East Coast team that is defending the World Series, the Phillies are getting relativley little MSM play.</p>
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		<title>By: bski</title>
		<link>http://www.reclinergm.com/2009-nlds-preview-phillies-vs-rockies/#comment-20381</link>
		<dc:creator>bski</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 05 Oct 2009 21:49:05 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.reclinergm.com/?p=7207#comment-20381</guid>
		<description>This Lidge cut-fastball thing reminds me of Rocky II.  Remember?  Mickey taught Rocky to fight right-handed and Rocky stuck with it for the fisrt 14 rounds against Apollo Creed.  Then halfway through the 15th round he switched back to fighting left-handed and won the fight.

Well, Lidge sandbagged (and tanked) the entire season.  Now he&#039;s going to catch everyone off guard and dominate in the playoffs.  Brilliant!

Seriously though, I just read the article and it sounds reasonable enough.  I mean, it didn&#039;t just come out of nowhere.  The timing &lt;strong&gt;is&lt;/strong&gt; weird though.  As if he hasn&#039;t had enough problems all year, he has to add another variable into the equation?  Now if he blows up in the playoffs it could be because of the knee, the mechanics, the command, the confidence, or the new pitch.  Sorry for the negative view, but come on already.

Trying to find a positive, maybe it &lt;strong&gt;will &lt;/strong&gt;actually help him.  He can&#039;t get knocked around any worse with a cutter than he has been without one, can he?  Still, it smacks of desperation.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>This Lidge cut-fastball thing reminds me of Rocky II.  Remember?  Mickey taught Rocky to fight right-handed and Rocky stuck with it for the fisrt 14 rounds against Apollo Creed.  Then halfway through the 15th round he switched back to fighting left-handed and won the fight.</p>
<p>Well, Lidge sandbagged (and tanked) the entire season.  Now he&#8217;s going to catch everyone off guard and dominate in the playoffs.  Brilliant!</p>
<p>Seriously though, I just read the article and it sounds reasonable enough.  I mean, it didn&#8217;t just come out of nowhere.  The timing <strong>is</strong> weird though.  As if he hasn&#8217;t had enough problems all year, he has to add another variable into the equation?  Now if he blows up in the playoffs it could be because of the knee, the mechanics, the command, the confidence, or the new pitch.  Sorry for the negative view, but come on already.</p>
<p>Trying to find a positive, maybe it <strong>will </strong>actually help him.  He can&#8217;t get knocked around any worse with a cutter than he has been without one, can he?  Still, it smacks of desperation.</p>
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		<title>By: bski</title>
		<link>http://www.reclinergm.com/2009-nlds-preview-phillies-vs-rockies/#comment-20380</link>
		<dc:creator>bski</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 05 Oct 2009 20:54:55 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.reclinergm.com/?p=7207#comment-20380</guid>
		<description>Yeah, the early starts for playoff games are ridiculous, especially since it&#039;s the same non-marquee teams (Even though we are the defending champs.  Maybe it has more to do with the Rockies.  Whatever.) that get stuck with them all the time.  Because of the time difference, I can understand the deal with the west coast teams, but continually getting bumped in favor of the Yankees or the Red Sox is lousy.

The funny thing is that you have the opposite problem once you get to the World Series.  The games start late, they end late, and you&#039;re trying to stay awake to watch them while also trying to make it through the following work day on less sleep.  At least it&#039;s a problem for some of us older guys anyway.

Good to know about the live blogging, Pete.  I won&#039;t be joining you for game 1.  I&#039;m only working until 3pm on Wednesday and I&#039;m recording the game.  I&#039;ll be able to see what I missed and catch up to real time, so I don&#039;t want any spoilers before I get home.  

 I&#039;ll be here on Thursday though because I&#039;m working until 7pm.  I&#039;m still going to record the game, but I plan on listening to it on the radio  during the day anyway.  If the Phils win, I&#039;ll watch the game when I get home.  If they don&#039;t, I won&#039;t bother.  I&#039;ll check and if you&#039;re here I&#039;ll join in.

Thank God for the DVR!</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Yeah, the early starts for playoff games are ridiculous, especially since it&#8217;s the same non-marquee teams (Even though we are the defending champs.  Maybe it has more to do with the Rockies.  Whatever.) that get stuck with them all the time.  Because of the time difference, I can understand the deal with the west coast teams, but continually getting bumped in favor of the Yankees or the Red Sox is lousy.</p>
<p>The funny thing is that you have the opposite problem once you get to the World Series.  The games start late, they end late, and you&#8217;re trying to stay awake to watch them while also trying to make it through the following work day on less sleep.  At least it&#8217;s a problem for some of us older guys anyway.</p>
<p>Good to know about the live blogging, Pete.  I won&#8217;t be joining you for game 1.  I&#8217;m only working until 3pm on Wednesday and I&#8217;m recording the game.  I&#8217;ll be able to see what I missed and catch up to real time, so I don&#8217;t want any spoilers before I get home.  </p>
<p> I&#8217;ll be here on Thursday though because I&#8217;m working until 7pm.  I&#8217;m still going to record the game, but I plan on listening to it on the radio  during the day anyway.  If the Phils win, I&#8217;ll watch the game when I get home.  If they don&#8217;t, I won&#8217;t bother.  I&#8217;ll check and if you&#8217;re here I&#8217;ll join in.</p>
<p>Thank God for the DVR!</p>
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		<title>By: Pete</title>
		<link>http://www.reclinergm.com/2009-nlds-preview-phillies-vs-rockies/#comment-20379</link>
		<dc:creator>Pete</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 05 Oct 2009 20:48:19 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.reclinergm.com/?p=7207#comment-20379</guid>
		<description>According to Phillies.com, Brad Lidge has been working on a 3rd pitch, a cut fastball, to help him out.
&lt;div&gt;&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div&gt;This is promising news for NEXT season, when he has time to work on it in the off-season. Not sure it really helps him out right now though.&lt;/div&gt;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>According to Phillies.com, Brad Lidge has been working on a 3rd pitch, a cut fastball, to help him out.</p>
<div></div>
<div>This is promising news for NEXT season, when he has time to work on it in the off-season. Not sure it really helps him out right now though.</div>
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		<title>By: Pete</title>
		<link>http://www.reclinergm.com/2009-nlds-preview-phillies-vs-rockies/#comment-20378</link>
		<dc:creator>Pete</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 05 Oct 2009 19:26:34 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.reclinergm.com/?p=7207#comment-20378</guid>
		<description>Trillo Fan-
&lt;div&gt;&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div&gt;I think it&#039;s easier for a pitcher to &quot;turn it on&quot; for the playoffs than a hitter, so I&#039;m hopeful we get better starts from everyone.&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div&gt;&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div&gt;I think the only result that would surprise me would be a Phillies&#039; sweep. Anything else is possible.&lt;/div&gt;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Trillo Fan-</p>
<div></div>
<div>I think it&#8217;s easier for a pitcher to &#8220;turn it on&#8221; for the playoffs than a hitter, so I&#8217;m hopeful we get better starts from everyone.</div>
<div></div>
<div>I think the only result that would surprise me would be a Phillies&#8217; sweep. Anything else is possible.</div>
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		<title>By: Pete</title>
		<link>http://www.reclinergm.com/2009-nlds-preview-phillies-vs-rockies/#comment-20377</link>
		<dc:creator>Pete</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 05 Oct 2009 19:24:50 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.reclinergm.com/?p=7207#comment-20377</guid>
		<description>I think Rich Hoffman says it best here about what a crock it is that the Phillies (or anyone for that matter) are forced to play while their fans are at work...  &lt;a href=&quot;http://www.philly.com/philly/blogs/hofmann/Baseballs_error.html&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;http://www.philly.com/philly/blogs/hofmann/Baseballs_error.html&lt;/a&gt;
&lt;div&gt;&lt;/div&gt;
&lt;div&gt;I&#039;m taking 2 half days on Wed and Thursday and will be live blogging Game 1, and maybe Game 2 from home.&lt;/div&gt;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I think Rich Hoffman says it best here about what a crock it is that the Phillies (or anyone for that matter) are forced to play while their fans are at work&#8230;  <a href="http://www.philly.com/philly/blogs/hofmann/Baseballs_error.html" rel="nofollow">http://www.philly.com/philly/blogs/hofmann/Baseballs_error.html</a></p>
<div></div>
<div>I&#8217;m taking 2 half days on Wed and Thursday and will be live blogging Game 1, and maybe Game 2 from home.</div>
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		<title>By: steve</title>
		<link>http://www.reclinergm.com/2009-nlds-preview-phillies-vs-rockies/#comment-20376</link>
		<dc:creator>steve</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 05 Oct 2009 16:30:19 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.reclinergm.com/?p=7207#comment-20376</guid>
		<description>none of the division winners in the NL have been tearing it up lately.The ROX seem to be playing the best lately but in the playoffs,who knows!PHILS NEED TO PLAY BETTER IN ORDER TO TAKE THE ROX! lets go Phils!</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>none of the division winners in the NL have been tearing it up lately.The ROX seem to be playing the best lately but in the playoffs,who knows!PHILS NEED TO PLAY BETTER IN ORDER TO TAKE THE ROX! lets go Phils!</p>
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		<title>By: Trillo Fan</title>
		<link>http://www.reclinergm.com/2009-nlds-preview-phillies-vs-rockies/#comment-20374</link>
		<dc:creator>Trillo Fan</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 05 Oct 2009 15:36:46 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.reclinergm.com/?p=7207#comment-20374</guid>
		<description>I think if aggregate performance is measured (either over the season or over the 2nd half), the Phils would come out slightly ahead, as Pete has shown.  What is worrisome is that the Phillies have not been playing well going into the playoffs.   They are on a streak of 12 straight games without a quality start, and they basically got the needed wins to clinch the division title by beating up on some bad pitchers (but not all -- see Bazardo).   Last year&#039;s playoff run was keyed by great starting pitching: 8 quality starts out of 11 wins (including all 5 starts by Hamels), only 2 starts all postseason where the starting pitcher gave up more than 3 earned runs.   Around late August, when the Phils were on a 15-5 run, I thought this year&#039;s rotation had the capability of producing the same sort of pitching in the postseason.  But if it happens this year, it will be coming out of nowhere.  Most maddening is that the top 4 pitchers in the rotation all gave up 2 runs in the first inning the last 4 games (3 or which theoretically meant something).  I&#039;m hopeful, though not optimistic, that Hamels or Lee (or both) can get on the same sort of run that Hamels was on last postseason.

The other problem for the Phillies is that the top of the order is not hitting well.  Rollins had a decent September, but his .320 OBP for Sept/Oct is still below average.   Combine that with the OBP&#039;s for  the slumping Victorino (.286 in Sept/Oct) and slumping Utley (.290 in Sept/Oct) and it&#039;s not hard to see why the Phillies have struggled for runs at times.   The lack of production from the top of the order was mitigated by the almost-expected great Sept/Oct from Howard (and decent production from Ibanez and Werth), but I&#039;d feel better about the offense going into the playoffs if the top 3 guys were getting on consistently.  (Note: it&#039;s nice to see that Howard has finally inched ahead of Utley in the Phillies MVP voting on this site.  Maybe hitting over 100 points better in Sept/Oct had something to do with it.)

One note about the Rockies:  this year&#039;s team has good depth, but they don&#039;t have Matt Holliday (and especially not the 2007 Matt Holliday).  That has to count for something, right? </description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>I think if aggregate performance is measured (either over the season or over the 2nd half), the Phils would come out slightly ahead, as Pete has shown.  What is worrisome is that the Phillies have not been playing well going into the playoffs.   They are on a streak of 12 straight games without a quality start, and they basically got the needed wins to clinch the division title by beating up on some bad pitchers (but not all &#8212; see Bazardo).   Last year&#8217;s playoff run was keyed by great starting pitching: 8 quality starts out of 11 wins (including all 5 starts by Hamels), only 2 starts all postseason where the starting pitcher gave up more than 3 earned runs.   Around late August, when the Phils were on a 15-5 run, I thought this year&#8217;s rotation had the capability of producing the same sort of pitching in the postseason.  But if it happens this year, it will be coming out of nowhere.  Most maddening is that the top 4 pitchers in the rotation all gave up 2 runs in the first inning the last 4 games (3 or which theoretically meant something).  I&#8217;m hopeful, though not optimistic, that Hamels or Lee (or both) can get on the same sort of run that Hamels was on last postseason.</p>
<p>The other problem for the Phillies is that the top of the order is not hitting well.  Rollins had a decent September, but his .320 OBP for Sept/Oct is still below average.   Combine that with the OBP&#8217;s for  the slumping Victorino (.286 in Sept/Oct) and slumping Utley (.290 in Sept/Oct) and it&#8217;s not hard to see why the Phillies have struggled for runs at times.   The lack of production from the top of the order was mitigated by the almost-expected great Sept/Oct from Howard (and decent production from Ibanez and Werth), but I&#8217;d feel better about the offense going into the playoffs if the top 3 guys were getting on consistently.  (Note: it&#8217;s nice to see that Howard has finally inched ahead of Utley in the Phillies MVP voting on this site.  Maybe hitting over 100 points better in Sept/Oct had something to do with it.)</p>
<p>One note about the Rockies:  this year&#8217;s team has good depth, but they don&#8217;t have Matt Holliday (and especially not the 2007 Matt Holliday).  That has to count for something, right? </p>
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		<title>By: Pete</title>
		<link>http://www.reclinergm.com/2009-nlds-preview-phillies-vs-rockies/#comment-20373</link>
		<dc:creator>Pete</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 05 Oct 2009 13:20:22 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.reclinergm.com/?p=7207#comment-20373</guid>
		<description>Burke-

Do you think the Rockies will trade some of their 3 &quot;extra starters&quot; after the season? Or go with this strategy all next year as well. We could probably use Atkins here at 3B.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Burke-</p>
<p>Do you think the Rockies will trade some of their 3 &#8220;extra starters&#8221; after the season? Or go with this strategy all next year as well. We could probably use Atkins here at 3B.</p>
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