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	<title>Comments on: Phillies Rumors: A.J. Burnett Deal In The Works?</title>
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		<title>By: The Duke</title>
		<link>http://www.reclinergm.com/phillies-rumors-aj-burnett-deal-in-the-works/#comment-2625</link>
		<dc:creator>The Duke</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 15 Jul 2008 23:28:11 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.reclinergm.com/?p=325#comment-2625</guid>
		<description>To join in on your Carrasco conversation...

1)  Put me in the group that does not consider a changeup a breaking ball.  Some people consider everything but a fastball a breaking ball, but there&#039;s already a term for that...offspeed pitch.

2)  I think a lot of Philly fan&#039;s have some unrealistic expectations for Carrasco at this point.  It&#039;s understandable though, we&#039;ve got a shallow farm system and a huge need for starting pitching.  He&#039;s the first place fans are going to look, despite the fact that he just turned 21 in March.  I don&#039;t think he&#039;s ready this year, but give him another year or two and he will be a solid big leaguer.  As a side note, it&#039;s not that there hasn&#039;t been interest in Carrasco.  The Phils were unwilling to include him in trade talks up until recently.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>To join in on your Carrasco conversation&#8230;</p>
<p>1)  Put me in the group that does not consider a changeup a breaking ball.  Some people consider everything but a fastball a breaking ball, but there&#8217;s already a term for that&#8230;offspeed pitch.</p>
<p>2)  I think a lot of Philly fan&#8217;s have some unrealistic expectations for Carrasco at this point.  It&#8217;s understandable though, we&#8217;ve got a shallow farm system and a huge need for starting pitching.  He&#8217;s the first place fans are going to look, despite the fact that he just turned 21 in March.  I don&#8217;t think he&#8217;s ready this year, but give him another year or two and he will be a solid big leaguer.  As a side note, it&#8217;s not that there hasn&#8217;t been interest in Carrasco.  The Phils were unwilling to include him in trade talks up until recently.</p>
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		<title>By: Pete</title>
		<link>http://www.reclinergm.com/phillies-rumors-aj-burnett-deal-in-the-works/#comment-2620</link>
		<dc:creator>Pete</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 15 Jul 2008 20:38:18 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.reclinergm.com/?p=325#comment-2620</guid>
		<description>jrpIII:

a couple points on carrasco. 

- do you consider a change-up a breaking pitch? (not trying to be snide, some people only count curves and sliders) His change-up is arguably his best pitch. He needs to develop a third pitch, but his change-up is above average. 

- his ERA is 4.09, not exactly close to 5. 

- he does walk too many, but not 1 per inning. He walks 0.39 per inning. 

- If people think he is a Cole Hamels-level prospect, then they are wrong. But he is as good a prospect as Myers, Floyd, Wolf, etc... 

- He&#039;s only 21, so he&#039;s pitching a above his age at double-A.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>jrpIII:</p>
<p>a couple points on carrasco. </p>
<p>- do you consider a change-up a breaking pitch? (not trying to be snide, some people only count curves and sliders) His change-up is arguably his best pitch. He needs to develop a third pitch, but his change-up is above average. </p>
<p>- his ERA is 4.09, not exactly close to 5. </p>
<p>- he does walk too many, but not 1 per inning. He walks 0.39 per inning. </p>
<p>- If people think he is a Cole Hamels-level prospect, then they are wrong. But he is as good a prospect as Myers, Floyd, Wolf, etc&#8230; </p>
<p>- He&#8217;s only 21, so he&#8217;s pitching a above his age at double-A.</p>
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		<title>By: jrpIII</title>
		<link>http://www.reclinergm.com/phillies-rumors-aj-burnett-deal-in-the-works/#comment-2619</link>
		<dc:creator>jrpIII</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 15 Jul 2008 20:26:18 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.reclinergm.com/?p=325#comment-2619</guid>
		<description>@ Pete 

I think you need to read my post again...there was an implication made as to why the phillies may be able to swing a deal due to the fact that these particular prospects may not be as good, or as desireable as we would like to think here in Philadelphia.  What I posted was a SAMPLE and never suggested that that sample was the whole truth concerning any particular prospect. 

My opinion on Carrasco is that he doesn&#039;t have a dominate enough fastball to allow him to have such below average breaking pitches.  You can&#039;t blow people away, let alone be effective with a 92 MPH fastball, and no breaking pitch to speak of. Yes, he is young, and developing but his continued lack of control is a concern-- again, much of this due to the fact that he still throws across his body.  His numbers at Double-A are confusing--one K, one hit, and one walk every inning pitched with and ERA close to 5--I just question that he truly is the prospect that people in this city thinks he is.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>@ Pete </p>
<p>I think you need to read my post again&#8230;there was an implication made as to why the phillies may be able to swing a deal due to the fact that these particular prospects may not be as good, or as desireable as we would like to think here in Philadelphia.  What I posted was a SAMPLE and never suggested that that sample was the whole truth concerning any particular prospect. </p>
<p>My opinion on Carrasco is that he doesn&#8217;t have a dominate enough fastball to allow him to have such below average breaking pitches.  You can&#8217;t blow people away, let alone be effective with a 92 MPH fastball, and no breaking pitch to speak of. Yes, he is young, and developing but his continued lack of control is a concern&#8211; again, much of this due to the fact that he still throws across his body.  His numbers at Double-A are confusing&#8211;one K, one hit, and one walk every inning pitched with and ERA close to 5&#8211;I just question that he truly is the prospect that people in this city thinks he is.</p>
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		<title>By: Zack</title>
		<link>http://www.reclinergm.com/phillies-rumors-aj-burnett-deal-in-the-works/#comment-2611</link>
		<dc:creator>Zack</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 15 Jul 2008 13:52:12 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.reclinergm.com/?p=325#comment-2611</guid>
		<description>Duke, nice piece of reporting...

FOR: We DID trade two prospects for him, as you said; he&#039;s got good stuff, good career numbers; J-Roll might get all jacked up again about picking him up, leading to better production from our shortstop; pitchers have recovered from injuries before and done well

AGAINST: a vast majority of Phillie fans HATE this guy, we&#039;d want a move the fans will get behind, not one they&#039;ll start trashing the first time he walks someone; if you have a bad experience one place, you usually don&#039;t wanna go back there, I bet he&#039;d be looking for a fresh start somewhere else; isn&#039;t he a power pitcher, would he still be effective at his age and does his injury make him less effective as a result</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Duke, nice piece of reporting&#8230;</p>
<p>FOR: We DID trade two prospects for him, as you said; he&#8217;s got good stuff, good career numbers; J-Roll might get all jacked up again about picking him up, leading to better production from our shortstop; pitchers have recovered from injuries before and done well</p>
<p>AGAINST: a vast majority of Phillie fans HATE this guy, we&#8217;d want a move the fans will get behind, not one they&#8217;ll start trashing the first time he walks someone; if you have a bad experience one place, you usually don&#8217;t wanna go back there, I bet he&#8217;d be looking for a fresh start somewhere else; isn&#8217;t he a power pitcher, would he still be effective at his age and does his injury make him less effective as a result</p>
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		<title>By: The Duke</title>
		<link>http://www.reclinergm.com/phillies-rumors-aj-burnett-deal-in-the-works/#comment-2606</link>
		<dc:creator>The Duke</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Tue, 15 Jul 2008 11:11:30 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.reclinergm.com/?p=325#comment-2606</guid>
		<description>Apparently, the &lt;a href=&quot;http://blogs.nypost.com/sports/st/archives/2008/07/asg_confidentia_1.html&quot; rel=&quot;nofollow&quot;&gt;Phillies are now interested in Freddy Garcia&lt;/a&gt; once again.  This is the first time I&#039;ve seen them mentioned among the suitors.  In all honesty, we traded two nice prospects for him while he was unhealthy...why not take a shot on him once he&#039;s completely rehabbed?

</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Apparently, the <a href="http://blogs.nypost.com/sports/st/archives/2008/07/asg_confidentia_1.html" rel="nofollow">Phillies are now interested in Freddy Garcia</a> once again.  This is the first time I&#8217;ve seen them mentioned among the suitors.  In all honesty, we traded two nice prospects for him while he was unhealthy&#8230;why not take a shot on him once he&#8217;s completely rehabbed?</p>
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		<title>By: Pete</title>
		<link>http://www.reclinergm.com/phillies-rumors-aj-burnett-deal-in-the-works/#comment-2567</link>
		<dc:creator>Pete</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 14 Jul 2008 13:33:21 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.reclinergm.com/?p=325#comment-2567</guid>
		<description>and just to show there are many opinions on these things.....here is what baseball prospectus said about Carrasco

&quot;Carlos Carrasco. The best starting-pitcher prospect I saw, Carrasco threw fastballs at 90-93 and changeups about 10 mph slower, eschewing any breaking balls. He’s been rumored to be trade bait for the Phillies, who need starting pitching help. I’m not sure that Carrasco is much worse than the kinds of pitchers you can get back for him.&quot;</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>and just to show there are many opinions on these things&#8230;..here is what baseball prospectus said about Carrasco</p>
<p>&#8220;Carlos Carrasco. The best starting-pitcher prospect I saw, Carrasco threw fastballs at 90-93 and changeups about 10 mph slower, eschewing any breaking balls. He’s been rumored to be trade bait for the Phillies, who need starting pitching help. I’m not sure that Carrasco is much worse than the kinds of pitchers you can get back for him.&#8221;</p>
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		<title>By: Pete</title>
		<link>http://www.reclinergm.com/phillies-rumors-aj-burnett-deal-in-the-works/#comment-2566</link>
		<dc:creator>Pete</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 14 Jul 2008 13:31:34 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.reclinergm.com/?p=325#comment-2566</guid>
		<description>jrpIII:

isn&#039;t it just as &quot;uninformed&quot; to make sweeping judgements on baseball players based on one game and one BP? The difference between a .275 hitter and a .300 hitter is 1 hit every 2 weeks. Not exactly something you can see in one game. 

It&#039;s true that our top prospects are not the same caliber as some others. But Marson is a 22 year old catcher, playing higher than he should (double-A) for that age, and has a .450 OBP, which is RIDICULOUS. He has little power, but will be a significant upgrade over our current catchers. 

Golson has made strides this year for sure, but does still struggle with a lot of his game. 

Carrasco did pretty well for having poor command, striking out 2 in a hitless inning. His issue is confidence. He&#039;s not the caliber prospect of Hamels or Clay Bucholz, or Clayton Kershaw etc..., but he is a solid #2 type starter. 

Donald is what he is. He&#039;ll be a slightly above average SS in the league. Not sure he&#039;s one of our &quot;top&quot; prospects. I think our top guys are Marson, Carrasco, Adrian Cardenas and Joe Savery (despite his early struggles).</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>jrpIII:</p>
<p>isn&#8217;t it just as &#8220;uninformed&#8221; to make sweeping judgements on baseball players based on one game and one BP? The difference between a .275 hitter and a .300 hitter is 1 hit every 2 weeks. Not exactly something you can see in one game. </p>
<p>It&#8217;s true that our top prospects are not the same caliber as some others. But Marson is a 22 year old catcher, playing higher than he should (double-A) for that age, and has a .450 OBP, which is RIDICULOUS. He has little power, but will be a significant upgrade over our current catchers. </p>
<p>Golson has made strides this year for sure, but does still struggle with a lot of his game. </p>
<p>Carrasco did pretty well for having poor command, striking out 2 in a hitless inning. His issue is confidence. He&#8217;s not the caliber prospect of Hamels or Clay Bucholz, or Clayton Kershaw etc&#8230;, but he is a solid #2 type starter. </p>
<p>Donald is what he is. He&#8217;ll be a slightly above average SS in the league. Not sure he&#8217;s one of our &#8220;top&#8221; prospects. I think our top guys are Marson, Carrasco, Adrian Cardenas and Joe Savery (despite his early struggles).</p>
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		<title>By: jrpIII</title>
		<link>http://www.reclinergm.com/phillies-rumors-aj-burnett-deal-in-the-works/#comment-2549</link>
		<dc:creator>jrpIII</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 14 Jul 2008 00:27:07 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.reclinergm.com/?p=325#comment-2549</guid>
		<description>meant to say can&#039;t swing a deal, not can...</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>meant to say can&#8217;t swing a deal, not can&#8230;</p>
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		<title>By: jrpIII</title>
		<link>http://www.reclinergm.com/phillies-rumors-aj-burnett-deal-in-the-works/#comment-2548</link>
		<dc:creator>jrpIII</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Mon, 14 Jul 2008 00:26:13 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.reclinergm.com/?p=325#comment-2548</guid>
		<description>Maybe the reason why the Phillies can swing a deal lies in the fact that thier most pro-ready prospects just aren&#039;t as good as many (uninformed) Phillies fans think.  Here&#039;s insight into the Phillies &quot;top&quot; pro prospects at Futures Game 2008: 

A handful of players didn&#039;t live up to advance billing. Lou Marson was fine behind the plate, but didn&#039;t square balls up and repeatedly hit balls on the ground, even in BP. … Regular-season teammate Greg Golson showed again that his approach at the plate is atrocious, with a very long swing and poor pitch recognition, and he had two very bad reads in left field during the game.  Carlos Carrasco was 90-94, throwing slightly across his body with poor command, and he didn&#039;t throw a breaking ball in his inning of work. 

Though, Jason Donald, a recent target of the Blue Jays, did get good reviews as a &quot;hit for average&quot; type hitter.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>Maybe the reason why the Phillies can swing a deal lies in the fact that thier most pro-ready prospects just aren&#8217;t as good as many (uninformed) Phillies fans think.  Here&#8217;s insight into the Phillies &#8220;top&#8221; pro prospects at Futures Game 2008: </p>
<p>A handful of players didn&#8217;t live up to advance billing. Lou Marson was fine behind the plate, but didn&#8217;t square balls up and repeatedly hit balls on the ground, even in BP. … Regular-season teammate Greg Golson showed again that his approach at the plate is atrocious, with a very long swing and poor pitch recognition, and he had two very bad reads in left field during the game.  Carlos Carrasco was 90-94, throwing slightly across his body with poor command, and he didn&#8217;t throw a breaking ball in his inning of work. </p>
<p>Though, Jason Donald, a recent target of the Blue Jays, did get good reviews as a &#8220;hit for average&#8221; type hitter.</p>
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		<title>By: The Duke</title>
		<link>http://www.reclinergm.com/phillies-rumors-aj-burnett-deal-in-the-works/#comment-2547</link>
		<dc:creator>The Duke</dc:creator>
		<pubDate>Sun, 13 Jul 2008 23:08:12 +0000</pubDate>
		<guid isPermaLink="false">http://www.reclinergm.com/?p=325#comment-2547</guid>
		<description>@Kevin

I think if we were willing to deal Carrasco we could pry Guthrie away from the O&#039;s.    Guthrie&#039;s already 29, so I don&#039;t really know how he fits in as a core of a rebuilding process, though I definately agree he&#039;s their ace.</description>
		<content:encoded><![CDATA[<p>@Kevin</p>
<p>I think if we were willing to deal Carrasco we could pry Guthrie away from the O&#8217;s.    Guthrie&#8217;s already 29, so I don&#8217;t really know how he fits in as a core of a rebuilding process, though I definately agree he&#8217;s their ace.</p>
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